A Predicted Ocean

The ocean has an enormous impact on our planet – its climate, food resources, environment and other significant elements of our lives. By understanding the ever-changing conditions, we will get to "A Predicted Ocean" and sustain a healthy ecosystem.

Nekton Sub preparing to descend

Nekton / Nekton 2018

Knowledge and solutions for a sustainable ocean economy are achieved through increased access to data, information, capacities and technologies. On this basis, ocean science can prepare, evaluate and lead the way.

The ocean has a strong influence on Earth’s climate system and on our weather. With its vast capacities of water, it stores heat, water, carbon and nutrients. Understanding physical and chemical ocean conditions and predicting future developments are fundamental to adapting and developing strategies for environmental and climate change – as well as enabling long-term decisions for economic benefits.

The Predicted Ocean Laboratory uses a value chain approach to bring everyone together – from small research groups to large companies, from input suppliers to service providers. Our goal is to address the need for more closely integrated observations and modelling, relevant collaborations around the world and connections to stakeholders and user communities. The laboratory highlights existing gaps and potential solutions for ocean prediction. By embracing the Ocean Decade, the lab innovatively marks a collaborative way forward to establishing a systematic, interdisciplinary ocean prediction, and information systems to benefit society.

Did you miss "A Predicted Ocean"? Please click here to re-watch the entire Core Event and the Wrap-up.

Predicted Ocean: Speakers & Moderators

SPEAKER

Pierre Bahurel

Director General, Mercator Ocean International

SPEAKER

Beth Fulton

Lead, Integrated Marine Management, CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere 
Deputy Director, Centre for Marine Socioecology

SPEAKER

Marjolaine Krug

Senior Scientific Advisor, OCIMS, Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment (DFFE)

SPEAKER

Molly Powers-Tora

Acting Team Leader, Ocean Management and Literacy, Pacific Community (SPC)

SPEAKER

Fangli Qiao

First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, China

SPEAKER

Ariel Hernán Troisi

Chairperson Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission IOC-UNESCO

SPEAKER

Ramasamy Venkatesan

National Institute of Ocean Technology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India, Chennai India

SPEAKER

Wendy Watson-Wright

Founder and CEO, 7 Mile Bay

MORE SPEAKERS & MODERATORS

PROGRAM CORE EVENT

15 SEPTEMBER, 8:00 PM – 0:00 PM CEST

Hosts:

Craig McLean, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), United States of America

Detlef Stammer, University of Hamburg, Germany

Monika Jones, International TV and Conference Host, Germany

8.00 pm CEST

Session 1: A Predicted Ocean: Benefit, Societal Need and Ambition by 2030 (140 min)

Expert Moderator

Judith Giblin, ECOP – Oceanography at Pacific Community, Fiji

Ann-Christine Zinkann, ECOP, Program Manager at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
     United States of America


Keynote Speakers (in speaking order)
Motivations & Ambitions

Wendy Watson-Wright, 7 Mile Bay, Canada
     Benefits of a predicted ocean to society

Ariel Hernán Troisi, Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission IOC-UNESCO, France
     Short-term forecasts and outlooks for marine conditions

Fangli Qiao, First Institute of Oceanography, China
     Requirements of long-term forecasts of the Ocean State

Janice Trotte-Duhá,
     Directorate-General for Scientific, Technological and Nuclear Development of the Brazilian Navy
     Leticia Cotrim da Cunha, Assistant Professor at Rio de Janeiro State University in Brazil
     Predicting long-term evolution of CO2

Beth Fulton, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Australia
     Predictions ecosystems and marine diversity

Katja Fennel, Dalhousie University, Canada
     Linking ocean predictions with a healthy ocean

10.30 pm CEST

From Observation to Prediction (Round Table, 45min)

How can we work toward implementing the concept of an integrated global observing system
serving many users including with local enhancements down to the coastal level?

Expert Moderator

Roshan Ramessur, Associate Professor at The Ocean Foundation, Mauritius

Panelists
Motivations & Ambitions

Emma Heslop, Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission IOC-UNESCO, France
     Co-design of observing and prediction systems

Herve Damlamian, Pacific Community (SPC), New Caledonia
     Development of ocean prediction capabilities: short term to seasonal, decadal, climate, global to coastal
     (incl. coupling with land), physics to biogeochemistry & biology

Mojib Latif, GEOMAR – Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Germany
     Limits of predictability

Pierre Bahurel, Mercator Ocean International, France
     Development and maintenance of modeling & data assimilation infrastructure

Ramasamy Venkatesan, National Institute of Ocean Technology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, India
     Establish and maintain observing systems: from physics to biology – from global to coastal
     (incl. governance aspects)

11.15 pm CEST

Session Ensure an Impactful Predicted Ocean (Round Table, 45 min)

How can we connect to stakeholder and user communities to understand and respond to the needs of end users, down to the community level by developing a deeper understanding of regional issues and building partnerships across the value chain? Who are the user groups that are using the data for products and services?

Expert Moderator

George Petithakis, Research Director, Hellenic Center for Marine Research, Greece

Panelists
Motivations & Ambitions

Derrick Snowden,
     US Integrated Ocean Observing System Office NOAA/National Ocean Service, United States of America
     Data and product management and service

Marjolaine Krug, OCIMS, Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment (DFFE), South Africa
     What does society need?

Melissa Iwamoto, Pacific Islands Ocean Observing System (PacIOOS), United States of America
     How to provide an easy, efficient, and timely information delivery service to users?

Molly Powers-Tora, Pacific Community (SPC), Fiji
     How to better engage and interact with the different user communities?

Nadia Pinardi, University of Bologna, Italy
     Input form constituencies

PROGRAM WRAP-UP

17 SEPTEMBER, 8:00 PM – 9:30 PM CEST

Hosts:

Craig McLean, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), United States of America
Detlef Stammer, University of Hamburg, Germany
Monika Jones, International TV and Conference Host, Germany

8:00 pm CEST

Summary of Core Event

8:13 pm CEST

Review of Satellite Activities

Jérome Aucan, Pacific Community Center for Ocean Science, the Pacific Community (SPC)
Emma Heslop, Programme Specialist, GOOS,
     Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of UNESCO
Martin Visbeck, Professor of Physical Oceanography,
    GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Kiel University
Mark R. Payne, Danish Meterological Institute
Nicholas Rome, Consortium for Ocean Leadership

9:14 pm CEST

Outlook and expectations on the Decade Outcome “A Predicted Ocean”

9:24 pm CEST

Handover to the next Laboratory “A Clean Ocean”

Angelika Brandt, Head of Department Marine Zoology,
    Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History Museum

15 September, 11:30 pm – 17 September, 3:00 pm CEST

Blue Planet Hackathon

The Blue Planet Hackathon opens a call to ocean-related students and professionals to take action and think technological solutions as a response to Ocean Decade challenges.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_hutZnbVtE

15 September, 11:30 pm – 16 September, 2:30 am CEST

The Mexican Mangrove Monitoring System (SMMM)

We aim to examine the advance generated about SMMM, through a dynamic tour of four web resources. Participants can learn about the distribution of mangroves using a map and view analyses of public participation in mangrove conservation.

15 September, 12:00 am – 17 September, 8:00 pm CEST

OpenOceanCloud: A New Approach to Data & Computing

Join the global discussion to define the future of open-source cyberinfrastructure for ocean science through this 44-hour open, community brainstorming session. http://openocean.cloud/

16 September, 12:00 am – 11:59 pm CEST

Collaboration: A Flowchart to Improve Ocean Models

Models are vital for predicting change in ocean biogeochemistry. The marine system is intricate but no process influences every  function and no model can reproduce every process. How do you determine if a process needs to be included in your model?

16 September, 10:00 am - 17 September, 7:00 pm CEST

Predicting the Future of Coral Reefs using AI

In this hackathon, we aim to understand how machine learning and big data of marine ecosystems, like coral reefs, can play an important role in preserving these incredible resources.

16 September, 12:00 am – 2:00 am CEST

Vaka Moana: A Predicted and Observed Ocean

The Pacific Ocean is a major driver of the global climate. It is also the home of the Pacific Islander. This lab will take us on a tour along the main ocean current features of the Pacific, stopping along the way at different Pacific Islands.

16 September, 4:00 – 6:00 am CEST

Engaging the Public with the Ocean Forecasting System

This program provides basic information on ocean forecasting – what it is and what data and information you can get from it. This is a hands-on workshop that will guide you all the way through the easy and accessible ocean forecast website.

16 September, 11:00 am – 1:00 pm CEST

Developing Deep-Sea Ecosystem Models

What data should the deep-sea biology community focus on collecting over the Ocean Decade in order to support the development of deep-sea ecosystem models to enable scenario testing and evidence-based decision-making? Join our panel discussion.

All Satellite Activities